Boca Juniorsvs
Deportivo Recoleta
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boca Juniors are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Recoleta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 52.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
20.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60