GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/16/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Boca Juniors are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca JuniorsDDWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CruzeiroDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
44.4Attack41.0
77.8Defence74.4
66.7Form59.0
64.7Power60.0
0.74xG0.85
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