Boca Juniorsvs
Central Cordoba de Santiago
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Boca Juniors 1-0 Central Cordoba de Santiago, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Boca Juniors 3-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.4% | 50.2% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 22.0% | 28.8% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 8.11 | 11.6% | 21.0% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Projected Score
Boca Juniors 1–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00