Boavista SCvs
Madureira
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Rio · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madureira · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boavista SC 2-0 Madureira
Original prediction
Madureira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.9% | 34.5% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.9% | 29.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.1% | 35.9% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Madureira
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Madureira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80