Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
BOA are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Itabirito are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Itabirito hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00