Bình Phướcvs
Công An Nhân Dân
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Công An Nhân Dân · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bình Phước 0-3 Công An Nhân Dân
Original prediction
Công An Nhân Dân
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.35 | 14.2% | 25.6% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.2% | 26.1% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.6% | 48.3% | -17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Công An Nhân Dân
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Công An Nhân Dân has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00