Bnei Yehudavs
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Yehuda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bnei Yehuda 2-0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bnei Yehuda 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Original prediction
Bnei Yehuda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 70.8% | 66.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.2% | 20.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 8.11 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Bnei Yehuda 2–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Yehuda
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Bnei Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00