Bnei Yehudavs
Maccabi Herzliya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bnei Yehuda 1-1 Maccabi Herzliya
Original prediction
Bnei Yehuda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.6% | 58.6% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 22.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.2% | 18.6% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Yehuda
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Bnei Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20