Bnei Yehudavs
Kiryat Yam SC
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bnei Yehuda 5-1 Kiryat Yam SC
Original prediction
Bnei Yehuda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.9% | 63.8% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 18.6% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.3% | 17.6% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Yehuda
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Bnei Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20