Bnei Sakhninvs
Maccabi Petah Tikva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Petah Tikva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bnei Sakhnin 1-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Original prediction
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.6% | 33.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 28.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.6% | 38.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Maccabi Petah Tikva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00