GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 8/26/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bnei Sakhnin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Bnei Sakhnin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hapoel Tel Aviv are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bnei Sakhnin hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Bnei Sakhnin holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bnei Sakhnin

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Bnei Sakhnin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bnei SakhninLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel Tel AvivDLLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Bnei SakhninHapoel Tel Aviv
36.1Attack35.4
57.4Defence48.5
41.7Form34.3
47.5Power41.0
1.22xG0.81
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