Bnei Sakhninvs
Hapoel Ramat Gan
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Sakhnin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bnei Sakhnin 1-0 Hapoel Ramat Gan
Original prediction
Bnei Sakhnin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.3% | 40.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.8% | 27.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.9% | 32.8% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Sakhnin
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Bnei Sakhnin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20