GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/17/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bnei Sakhnin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Ligat Ha'al, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bnei SakhninDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel KatamonLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bnei SakhninHapoel Katamon
36.1Attack38.4
57.4Defence60.6
41.7Form43.4
47.5Power49.5
0.91xG0.90
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