Bnei Sakhninvs
Beitar Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/7/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Sakhnin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem
Original prediction
Bnei Sakhnin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.11 | 17.8% | 38.3% | 20.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.9% | 26.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 59.3% | 35.6% | -23.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Sakhnin
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Bnei Sakhnin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60