GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blyth Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Blyth Spartans are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gloucester City are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Blyth Spartans hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the National League - North, while Blyth Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blyth Spartans

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Blyth Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Blyth SpartansLDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Gloucester CityDDDDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Blyth SpartansGloucester City
47.8Attack35.5
40.6Defence35.5
36.2Form26.1
43.1Power34.5
2.03xG1.13
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