Catarinense - 2Catarinense - 2
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Blumenau

Blumenau

Home
D
02
Full time
Nação

Nação

Away
WLD
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Blumenau(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Blumenau
47%
Draw
26%
Nação
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Blumenau
34
Nação
34
Defence
Blumenau
66
Nação
77
Momentum
Blumenau
33
Nação
44
Danger (xG)
Blumenau
0.90
Nação
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Blumenau)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Nação)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Blumenau)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nação)
0.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BlumenauBlumenau
WDDWD
NaçãoNação
WLDD

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Blumenau47%
Draw26%
Nação26%

Blumenau leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Blumenau head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (D), while Nação arrive in mixed form (WLD). Blumenau have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 33% for Nação over 3 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Blumenau (66/100) and Nação (77/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Blumenau have won 2 of their last 5 home fixtures, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game at home. Nação have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Blumenau and Nação in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Blumenau to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Blumenau 4737%, Draw 2622%, Nação 2641%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Blumenau

Blumenau

W
vs Metropolitano
15 Jul 2026
41
D
vs Juventus SC
8 Jul 2026
11
D
vs São Luiz
27 Jun 2026
11
W
vs Jaraguá
10 Jun 2026
60
D
vs Marcílio Dias
16 May 2026
00
Nação

Nação

W
@ Jaraguá
15 Jul 2026
20
L
vs Fluminense-SC
12 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Metropolitano
2 Jul 2026
00
D
vs Tubarao
12 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Blumenau vs Nação?

GoalVio's model predicts Blumenau to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Blumenau vs Nação?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Blumenau vs Nação?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Blumenau vs Nação?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more