GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Blumenau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

29.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlumenauDLWWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Marcílio DiasWWLWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BlumenauMarcílio Dias
44.4Attack33.3
72.2Defence73.8
58.3Form50.0
60.1Power54.5
0.76xG0.50
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