GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Blumenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente FSJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlumenauLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente FSJWWLWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
BlumenauIndependiente FSJ
44.4Attack11.1
72.2Defence86.1
58.3Form44.4
60.1Power50.2
0.71xG0.36
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