Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blumenau · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Blumenau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Azuriz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.0% in the Serie D, while Blumenau holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blumenau
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
25.0%
Blumenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40