GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 7/4/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blue Eagles · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Blue Eagles are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Blue Eagles hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (65.6 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.8% in the Super League, while Blue Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blue Eagles

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

19.8%

Blue Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Blue EaglesLWWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksDWDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Blue EaglesMoyale Barracks
52.8Attack30.8
66.7Defence64.1
69.4Form43.6
65.6Power48.6
1.29xG0.53
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