GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 4/26/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Blue Eagles are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ekhaya are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Blue Eagles hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (65.6 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.5% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

24.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Blue EaglesDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EkhayaWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Blue EaglesEkhaya
52.8Attack36.1
66.7Defence77.8
69.4Form47.2
65.6Power54.9
0.82xG0.64
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