Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bílovec are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Šumperk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00