Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bílovec are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Šumperk are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80