Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Blooming are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Santos are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (24.4 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00