GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/25/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newells Old Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Blooming are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Newells Old Boys hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (24.4 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Newells Old Boys holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newells Old Boys

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

67.4%

Newells Old Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BloomingWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Newells Old BoysLWDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BloomingNewells Old Boys
28.6Attack50.0
19.0Defence75.0
19.0Form70.8
24.4Power67.4
0.54xG1.95
View match centre →