Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blooming · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Blooming are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guabirá are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.3 against 48.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Primera División, while Blooming holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blooming
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Blooming has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40