GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Palmaflor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Blooming are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Atlético Palmaflor are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Blooming hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (24.4 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atlético Palmaflor holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Palmaflor

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Atlético Palmaflor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BloomingLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético PalmaflorWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BloomingAtlético Palmaflor
28.6Attack0.0
19.0Defence0.0
19.0Form0.0
24.4Power7.0
1.06xG1.42
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