Bloomingvs
A. Italiano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/8/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
A. Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Blooming are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while A. Italiano are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (24.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while A. Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
A. Italiano
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
A. Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80