Böljanvs
Kongahälla
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Böljan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Böljan 1-3 Kongahälla
Original prediction
Böljan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.4% | 57.2% | 15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 20.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.6% | 22.9% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Böljan
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Böljan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60