Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Böljan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Böljan 0-1 Jonsered
Original prediction
Böljan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.7% | 43.9% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 21.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.6% | 34.4% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Böljan
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Böljan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BöljanDDLWW
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JonseredDLWLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BöljanJonsered
52.2Attack56.5
55.1Defence46.4
49.3Form56.5
52.8Power54.7
1.83xG1.44