Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Böljan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Böljan 1-3 Hestrafor
Original prediction
Böljan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.7% | 42.8% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.7% | 20.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.6% | 36.3% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Böljan
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Böljan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BöljanWWWLL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
HestraforWWDWD
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BöljanHestrafor
55.0Attack71.7
56.7Defence45.0
53.3Form61.7
55.4Power60.2
1.96xG1.77