Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blida · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blida 1-0 Koléa
Original prediction
Blida
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.5% | 48.5% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 28.2% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 8.54 | 10.5% | 23.3% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Blida
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Blida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BlidaDWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
KoléaWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BlidaKoléa
66.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence50.0
77.8Form50.0
72.8Power42.7
1.56xG0.80