Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treibach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bleiburg 3-1 Treibach
Original prediction
Treibach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.04 | 22.3% | 21.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.8% | 21.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 55.9% | 57.6% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Treibach
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Treibach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BleiburgDLDDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TreibachWWDWW
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BleiburgTreibach
46.7Attack86.7
40.0Defence80.0
20.0Form86.7
38.7Power83.5
1.18xG2.51