Bleiburgvs
Donau Klagenfurt
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - South · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bleiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bleiburg 3-1 Donau Klagenfurt
Original prediction
Bleiburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 49.1% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.9% | 26.0% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Bleiburg
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Bleiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60