Blaublitz Akitavs
Sagan Tosu
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blaublitz Akita · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blaublitz Akita 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Original prediction
Blaublitz Akita
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.6% | 37.9% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.7% | 30.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.7% | 31.9% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Blaublitz Akita
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Blaublitz Akita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60