Blaublitz Akitavs
Albirex Niigata
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blaublitz Akita · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blaublitz Akita 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Original prediction
Blaublitz Akita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.1% | 37.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.4% | 30.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.5% | 31.6% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Blaublitz Akita
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Blaublitz Akita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80