GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 4/10/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blacktown Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Blacktown Spartans are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Northern Tigers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Blacktown Spartans hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Blacktown Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blacktown Spartans

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Blacktown Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Blacktown SpartansWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Northern TigersLDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Blacktown SpartansNorthern Tigers
84.5Attack58.3
61.9Defence66.7
77.4Form63.1
74.3Power63.3
1.91xG1.20
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