Blacktown Cityvs
St. George Saints
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 5/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blacktown City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Blacktown City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while St. George Saints are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Blacktown City hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while Blacktown City holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blacktown City
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
11.5%
Blacktown City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80