GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blacktown City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Blacktown City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manly United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Manly United hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the New South Wales NPL, while Blacktown City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blacktown City

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Blacktown City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Blacktown CityWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Manly UnitedWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Blacktown CityManly United
49.4Attack39.3
45.7Defence58.3
38.3Form45.2
46.2Power48.9
1.32xG1.19
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