Blackpoolvs
Peterborough
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackpool 4-0 Peterborough
Original prediction
Blackpool
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 52.1% | 45.7% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.4% | 26.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.5% | 27.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20