GGOALVIO

England · League One · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Blackpool are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Peterborough are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the League One, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blackpool

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

14.1%

Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlackpoolDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PeterboroughLWLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BlackpoolPeterborough
47.1Attack62.5
65.2Defence56.3
52.9Form59.0
55.8Power59.5
1.31xG1.20
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