GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 2/20/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Blackpool are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Peterborough are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 81.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlackpoolWLDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PeterboroughLLLLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BlackpoolPeterborough
61.9Attack75.0
61.9Defence79.2
76.2Form87.5
67.9Power81.1
1.28xG1.75
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