Blackpoolvs
Nottingham Forest U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/14/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Blackpool are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nottingham Forest U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60