Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Blackpool are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Morecambe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40