Blackpoolvs
Mansfield Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackpool 1-4 Mansfield Town
Original prediction
Mansfield Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 34.6% | 36.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.6% | 26.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.8% | 37.5% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Mansfield Town
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20