GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/6/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Blackpool are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blackpool

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlackpoolDLLLD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Liverpool U21DLLLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BlackpoolLiverpool U21
61.9Attack50.0
61.9Defence8.3
76.2Form25.0
67.9Power29.2
2.94xG1.10
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