GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Blackpool are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blackpool

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlackpoolDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Liverpool U21W

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
BlackpoolLiverpool U21
61.9Attack50.0
61.9Defence8.3
76.2Form25.0
67.9Power29.2
2.94xG1.10
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