Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Blackpool are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Crewe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80