Blackpoolvs
Burton Albion
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Blackpool are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Burton Albion are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60