GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Blackpool are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Burton Albion are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blackpool

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BlackpoolWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Burton AlbionDLWWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
BlackpoolBurton Albion
61.9Attack60.0
61.9Defence53.3
76.2Form60.0
67.9Power59.9
2.01xG1.32
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