Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackpool 2-2 Bromley
Original prediction
Blackpool
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.4% | 59.6% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.2% | 21.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 21.4% | 18.6% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BlackpoolLLWLW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BromleyLLLDW
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BlackpoolBromley
60.0Attack26.7
53.3Defence0.0
46.7Form26.7
52.9Power22.4
2.38xG0.90