Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Blackpool are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Barrow are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40